The Toyota Production System is world famous for its focus on  "continuous improvements." With all those improvements continuously  taking place, why has Toyota suddenly found itself in deep trouble  having to recall so many cars that had been sold? You call the problem  'Modelitus'. Can you explain that to us? Al Ries: Fundamentally my  feeling is that they were into far too many models. There isn't just one  Toyota production line. There are dozens. Currently the company  produces 18 different Toyota models. Starting prices range from $12,605  for the Yaris to $65,970 for the Land Cruiser. In addition, Toyota makes  three Scion models sold in showrooms adjacent to Toyota showrooms as  well as 15 different Lexus models. In total, Toyota Motor Corporation  produces 36 different models, up from 18 a decade ago. Thirty-six  models? It's one thing for a company's engineering staff to continuously  improve one model. But thirty-six? And what about all the new Toyota  models currently on the drafting boards? Did that cause the problem? Al  Ries: I don't know but just psychologically the more you try to do the  more likely it is that you are gotta screw up on something. I can't  believe that a company can handle thirty six as well as a company that  could handle eight models or six or two. From a marketing point of view  the proliferation of models was not helpful. The more models you make  the more confusing your product line is. We find a lot of times in many  categories whether it is breakfast food or coffee, the more the  different kind of variations you make, the consumers get confused and  possibly turn away and buy something else at some point. So who does  it benefit then? Al Ries: There is a philosophy in business today  that the more models you have the more you sell. That isn't right, isn't  true. Saturn, a car brand, introduced by General Motors came out only  in one model. That's it. It was the actually the only automobile brand  in the market that was available only in one model. Four years after the  launch the average Saturn dealer sold more cars than any other dealer.  Then Saturn went on to introduce five additional models. They never  achieved the peak that they achieved with one model. And they had  expanded their dealer network. By the last year they were in business,  the average Saturn dealer did less than half than they were doing when  they had one model. That's progress? Not to me at least. Can you give  us any other example? Al Ries: The world's largest seller of  espresso coffee is Illy. Illy buys coffee from 18-19 countries. But they  have one blend. The coffee tasters sit around for weeks trying to mix  around this one with that one and so on, to have one blend that they  figure is the best. When they roast it, they will dark-roast it,  medium-roast it, light-roast it and decaffeinate it, but it's the same  blend. And they are the largest espresso. That, to me, is the direction  that most marketing programmes should take. Make it easy for the  consumer. Why does this happen, if it is not good for the consumer,  if it is not good for the company, why do they do it? Laura Ries:  There is a feeling within companies that they got to be doing something.  They can't just stick with what they are doing. They have enormous  pressure to increase sales. As a way to do that quickly, they feel if we  sell more stuff, we will have more sales, and then it looks like they  are doing something. Like they are launching new models, they are  launching new products. And with all of that work, is their any benefit?  The answer is there isn't any and that's the problem. So what is the  moral of the story? Laura Ries: Big companies need to learn from  entrepreneurs and companies that are building great brands today. Google  is an excellent example. When everyone was adding stuff to their  portals, Google white-paged it, and wiped it all out. It had one box.  And today it is one of the most powerful companies on the planet. And it  says a lot for not always doing to do more but sometimes doing less is  best. What about a brand like Toyota, it has got so much of negative  PR. What do they do now? Al Ries: In the first place, the Toyota  brand was very strong and had a reputation for reliability. And that is  one of the reasons why the PR has been so negative... Laura Ries:  They are in shock. Al Ries:  It had a reputation for reliability and  now some people think it is not reliable. That is devastating. But  because it is strong brand, if they give enough time, people will forget  and I think the brand will come back, granted their cars don't have any  more problems. As a matter of fact, if you look at sales, they are down  10-15% but nothing drastic. Nothing like, for example, a similar  problem with a German car brand called Audi. They had exactly the same  problem called unintended acceleration. The brand compared with Toyota,  was not a very strong in America. So their sales fell from roughly  60,000 a year to a third of that. And I had measured that it took them  15 years after that PR problem to come back to the same level of sales.  Toyota is a strong brand, it will comeback a lot quicker, a couple of  years at the most. You can't kill a strong brand. Look at Bill Clinton. What  about a brand like British Petroleum (BP)? Laura Ries: Tha's the  opposite situation to Toyota. BP is headed for disaster and the  likelihood of survival is pretty dim. First of all, it is in an industry  that people just naturally hate. Nobody likes Big Oil. You also have a  situation where they have had several disasters previously. They had a  big explosion in Texas which killed several workers. They had an Alaskan  pipeline that burst. So they have had a poor history of safety. They  also compounded that by running a massive advertising campaign talking  about how they were going beyond petroleum. How they were the greenest  of the oil companies. But behind the curtain, none of this was actually  happening, I think it was a slap in the face to the people when they  finally realised what really happening, seeing the tragedy of the worst  natural disaster ever. In that way, the best hope for BP is to be bought  out. The oil situation is totally dependant on governments giving them  oil wells to drill. And a company with such a bad reputation, no  politician is going want to go near them. Certainly the company has  assets and perhaps a future, but only if they are bought by someone else  and the brand is wiped out. What about a brand like Tiger Woods  which has been in some trouble like BP? Al Ries: If he comes back on  the golf course, he will do fine. But since he has had his problems he  hasn't done very on the golf course. And that's his biggest problem  today. People could admire him for the golf part and they can forget  about everything else.  We have had lots of sports heroes who have  serious problems, multiple girlfriends, wives, drugs, whatever ... you  name them. But people still admire them because of their athletic  abilities. And he is going to rise or fall depending on this backswing. Laura   Ries: Closing the chapter on the wife is probably the right direction.  He did have some short-term improvement in his game after the divorce  was finalised. The uncertainty of his marriage, I think, was causing a  lot of talk in the press and put pressure on him. But, again, his  survival is going to be dependant on his game. I guess Nike is praying  everyday that it comes back quickly. So you do feel that if his game  continues to improve advertisers will come back? Laura Ries: Sure.  But womanising it is very low in the totem pole in terms of bad  offences. Certainly it is not a good idea to cheat on your wife, but  look, he certainly got his punishment... And it wasn't one woman... Laura  Ries: It was a lot of women. But his wife did the right thing and  divorced him. People like to see that. They like to see consequences.  One of the biggest things that people seem to have had against Hillary  Clinton was that she did not do anything. A lot of people that I talk to  say, only if she had just divorced him…I would have felt better about  it. Al Ries: She would have had a better political career if she did.  She would have been perceived as decisive. People want their  politicians to make decisions. Not to be weaklings. You have always  maintained that the association of the brand in the minds of the  customer is very important. If what a brand stands for was so important  how did Hewlett Packard (HP), which most people think is a printer  company, become the number one personal computer selling company in the  world? Al Ries: Well they are perceived as a leader but not  necessarily a very strong leader. Most people know or believe that HP is  the largest seller of personal computers. But you don't see the same  admiration for the brand that you might find for Heinz ketchup or  Coca-Cola or Mercedes-Benz, or Apple for that matter. It is a leader  brand and it became a leader brand not so much because of what it did,  but because of what (rival) Dell did. Dell shot itself in the foot and  left HP standing. Dell was essentially a direct selling business. They  cut out the middleman and they saved business money and that's a message  that business people loved. But then they decided to get into the  consumer business and things started to go wrong. But what about HP? Al  Ries: As you know, HP is known for inventing the desktop laser printer.  They are perceived as a printer company and they do much better in  computer printers than they do in computers. They bought Compaq, for  example, and if I were HP, I would have used Compaq as the computer  name, desktop and laptop, and let HP be the printer brand. But there  again, you see this all over the world, I'd rather put everything under  one brand, so that I can spend all of money promoting that one brand,  which, theoretically, makes sense. But not when you look at the brand,  the package they are talking about. It does not make sense. What is a  Hewlett Packard? What are you going to say in the advertisement? And why  should I buy a Hewlett Packard, if I do not know what it is? It is the  classic line-extension problem. It's a philosophy-type problem. People  think, let's launch more products and more models, and we are going to  sell more. We disagree. To most companies, line extension is a good  idea. We think it is a bad idea. The more you expand, the more you  weaken. Google is a good example. Laura Ries: One problem now is that  for the short term, Google gets tremendous credit with the stock  market, when they make all the announcements that they are getting into  this and they are getting into that. It pumps up the stock. For the  short term, everyone is happy. All of a sudden, ten years later, it  hasn't panned out. We have seen that with Microsoft. It luckily still  dominates on the operating system, but all of the other things they have  gotten into they haven't been successful. They have lost tonnes of  money, but initially people got so excited. Oh MSN is going to rule the  world. Xbox is going to rule the world. All of these things were  supposed to take over, but none of this has happened. Seemingly nobody  seems to learn from history. Al Ries: They reportedly have lost $6  billion on the Xbox, for example. I believe outside their software  business, they have not made any money on anything. If they would have  stuck with software they would have been a stronger company. Now take  the case of Google. The revenue growth rates have constantly fallen for  Google as they have introduced more and more products into the market.  Look at the year-over-previous-year revenue growth rates for Google's  past seven years. It doesn't take a mathematician to figure out that  Google's rapid growth is coming to a screeching halt. Then what? Instead  of expanding in all directions, a better strategy for Google might have  been to launch a second brand. A second brand? Al Ries: As a  matter of fact, almost any large company should be thinking about  launching a second, a third or a fourth brand.  One of the most  successful companies in the world is Procter & Gamble and they have  got 22 brands that each do more than a billion dollars of business in a  year. There are another 20 that do between a $500 million and a billion a  year. Last year, for example, Procter & Gamble had a net profit  margin after taxes of 17.2%. I don't know how accurate this, is but I  worked out this afternoon that the Tata group of companies has a net  profit margin of 2.7%. The most successful companies in the world are  ones that have multiple brands. What's the biggest branding mistake  that a company can make? Al Ries: I guess you have to say the most  common mistake for big companies is launching a line extension instead  of launching another brand. We have worked with a lot of companies on  this issue, actively recommended to IBM that they launch a second brand,  to Microsoft, as a matter of fact, and others as well. I have been on a  lot of boards of directors. The word you hear in the boardrooms is how  do you expand the brand. I have never heard anyone say how do we narrow  the focus on a product, except for me. How do we narrow the focus that  we stand for something? Can you elaborate? Laura Ries: A part of  the problem is that companies are so in love with their brands. Company  people in launching a second brand sometimes feel disloyal, and that  lures them into the line extension mode, where they can't even consider a  second brand and that is a true problem. They need to sit back and  realise that we need to do the best thing for the company and to keep  that brand standing for something. The question about Tata always comes  up, whether or not they should be launching more second brands without  the Tata name. People love Tata, but the fact it isn't making money  because the strategy of putting Tata name on too many things is not  effective branding. So that's truly a problem that we see over and over  again and hopefully will change some day. So you suggest that Tatas  should be launching more brands? Laura Ries: Of course. Any company  that has the means and ability to be looking for new opportunities  should. Consumers don't care about brands. The advantage in business  comes from dominating categories and only brands that dominate  individual categories and keeps that as clear as possible, progress. The  best thing Google had was YouTube and they had to buy it. But why can't  they be launching things like that with a separate name? Al Ries:  What we have been saying is that every category as time goes on will  diverge and become two or more categories. You see that happening, for  example, in cellphones. Very definitely, we are going to have cellphones  to make the phone calls and we are going to have smart phones for  tapping on to the internet. Now this ties in with the second brand idea.  If companies appreciate the fact that categories divide, they are more  likely think about second brands. Nokia, we think, is getting into a  weak position with smart phones because they did not launch a second  brand. Yet, if we don't understand the philosophy of divergence then you  won't see this. And guess what most big companies think? The opposite.  They don't talk about divergence, they talk about convergence.  | 
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